Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8874b42c28de2e111101fb379ae6bafcf803bb6859b18f120a7dfa3174b49eab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Over | 47c | 25,762$11,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,765.15 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 15,443$8,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,184.71 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 54c | 7,230$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.34 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 58c | 2,585$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.8 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 54c | 1,821$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.42 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 56c | 1,807$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.22 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 46c | 1,443$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.78 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 1,279$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.39 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked Under | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 42c | 839$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.62 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 42c | 743$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.79 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 733.06$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.74 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 42c | 714.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.28 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 515.62$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 42c | 413.42$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 45c | 412.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.07 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 373.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…c02bbacked Under | 68c | 256.81$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed Under | 49c | 237$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Under | 51c | 219.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 196 | 37.8%74 W · 122 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Under | 49c | 214.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…646dbacked Over | 49c | 202.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…cec2backed Over | 44c | 200.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64d…7392backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 46c | 198$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 53c | 195.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Under | 51c | 182$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 208 | 42.3%88 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 55c | 180.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 32c | 155.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 36c | 136.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 46c | 126.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 44c | 117.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 111.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 70c | 73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 36c | 72.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Under | 58c | 70.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 72c | 62.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 54c | 60.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 54.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 41.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 37.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 57c | 31.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 62c | 26.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 54c | 26.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…4503backed Under | 53c | 26.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Under | 46c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Under | 60c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 54c | 22.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…2b45backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 52c | 21.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 57c | 20.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.