Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Bastian Malla
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f99026afb3ec9f502b9c5e19922d43d19742d2ccdf3d89257ac4e79e217dff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzalo Villanuevaof Gonzalo Villanueva, Bastian Malla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 60c | 5,324$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Bastian Malla | 46c | 1,394$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.64 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 59c | 723.02$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.71 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bastian Malla | 38c | 673$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Bastian Malla | 44c | 581.77$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 59c | 503.29$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Bastian Malla | 62c | 482.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bastian Malla | 44c | 458.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Bastian Malla | 35c | 458.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bastian Malla | 38c | 359.77$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Bastian Malla | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bastian Malla | 41c | 299.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Bastian Malla | 44c | 296.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Bastian Malla | 44c | 284.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Bastian Malla | 57c | 269$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bastian Malla | 41c | 265.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Bastian Malla | 44c | 245.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…28d4backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 78c | 192.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bastian Malla | 44c | 156.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Bastian Malla | 32c | 145.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 54c | 145.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bastian Malla | 47c | 117.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 75c | 116.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bastian Malla | 25c | 108.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 51c | 98.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bastian Malla | 45c | 89.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 35c | 89.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 70c | 69.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bastian Malla | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked Bastian Malla | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Bastian Malla | 27c | 48.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bastian Malla | 38c | 36.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Bastian Malla | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 48c | 26.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Bastian Malla | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Bastian Malla | 51c | 23.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 74c | 22.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 57c | 18.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.