Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Ana Grubor vs Elsa Bonelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e8f71d08b7381563bfb7751e69246a07c7047c2a6898a47130b4605050a196e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ana Gruborof Ana Grubor, Elsa Bonelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ana Grubor | 62c | 13,299$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.1 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elsa Bonelli | 45c | 8,454$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.54 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Ana Grubor | 55c | 4,379$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.79 | 314 | 47.8%150 W · 164 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Elsa Bonelli | 21c | 3,932$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.75 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Elsa Bonelli | 16c | 3,240$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.65 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Elsa Bonelli | 14c | 2,809$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.54 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ana Grubor | 63c | 2,195$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.53 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Elsa Bonelli | 20c | 2,177$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.28 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Ana Grubor | 77c | 2,000$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.05 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Ana Grubor | 76c | 1,744$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Elsa Bonelli | 24c | 1,685$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.06 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elsa Bonelli | 21c | 840.39$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Ana Grubor | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Elsa Bonelli | 20c | 720.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elsa Bonelli | 24c | 692.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Elsa Bonelli | 26c | 650$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elsa Bonelli | 29c | 648.53$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ana Grubor | 76c | 597.81$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Elsa Bonelli | 34c | 551.63$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Elsa Bonelli | 30c | 495.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…bbb8backed Elsa Bonelli | 33c | 487.27$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Elsa Bonelli | 5c | 482.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Elsa Bonelli | 22c | 411$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Elsa Bonelli | 29c | 409.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Elsa Bonelli | 60c | 406.82$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.82 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Elsa Bonelli | 23c | 405.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…ecefbacked Elsa Bonelli | 18c | 351.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Elsa Bonelli | 25c | 309.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Elsa Bonelli | 32c | 279.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elsa Bonelli | 30c | 271.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Elsa Bonelli | 19c | 260.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Elsa Bonelli | 27c | 252.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Elsa Bonelli | 24c | 248.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Elsa Bonelli | 26c | 230.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Elsa Bonelli | 52c | 195.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Elsa Bonelli | 21c | 185.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ana Grubor | 71c | 174.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Elsa Bonelli | 23c | 170.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Ana Grubor | 80c | 158.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Elsa Bonelli | 64c | 156.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Elsa Bonelli | 20c | 141.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Elsa Bonelli | 63c | 132$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ana Grubor | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Ana Grubor | 63c | 113.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Elsa Bonelli | 65c | 108.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 277 | 54.5%151 W · 126 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Elsa Bonelli | 23c | 102.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Ana Grubor | 50c | 100.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Elsa Bonelli | 26c | 97.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…cd11backed Elsa Bonelli | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ana Grubor | 35c | 73.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Ana Grubor | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Ana Grubor | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Ana Grubor | 78c | 62.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Elsa Bonelli | 29c | 60.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 221 | 50.7%112 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ana Grubor | 34c | 55.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ana Grubor | 73c | 54.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…50debacked Elsa Bonelli | 64c | 53.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Ana Grubor | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Ana Grubor | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 393 | 40.7%160 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked Ana Grubor | 49c | 49.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ana Grubor | 38c | 47.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Ana Grubor | 61c | 47.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Ana Grubor | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Ana Grubor | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 207 | 72%149 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…b1c7backed Elsa Bonelli | 42c | 41.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ana Grubor | 64c | 38.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ana Grubor | 72c | 29.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Ana Grubor | 79c | 29.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Ana Grubor | 65c | 28.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…7099backed Elsa Bonelli | 45c | 27.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ana Grubor | 38c | 26.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Ana Grubor | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Ana Grubor | 73c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W35 Verbier Women: Ana Grubor vs Elsa Bonellithis page
- ITF W35 Verbier Women: Completed Match: Ana Grubor vs Elsa BonelliYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.