TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,128 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes50c24,668$12,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,404.937753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No50c15,375$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,687.743661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c11,021$4,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,628.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes58c4,334$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.712,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7509272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c2,495$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.642,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c1,915$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.821,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c1,606$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.022,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No26c1,553$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No20c1,339$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3716024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No51c1,200$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes50c1,030$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No51c896.09$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.0150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No52c642.56$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.561,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes48c525$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9728242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c409$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No47c370$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.361,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes69c318.83$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.031,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15325544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No50c225$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.529259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No6c220$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2f…10adbacked Yes49c178$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c56…3656backed Yes49c152$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No51c133.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.265444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No50c130.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6037958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c105.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6257150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No51c104.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0425348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Yes56c103.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.135048%24 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes49c99.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.993426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4527354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4532357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No19c83.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c82.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.021,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No33c77.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7610547.6%50 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Yes50c67.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.646144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc3…6656backed No51c67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No50c66.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3811450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes33c64.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.636462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304379.1%34 W · 9 L+8.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+47%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x722d…0238backed No52c56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes66c53.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No53c53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.094037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb070…44b5backed No52c53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…09fabacked No38c52.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c51.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0559445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes49c51.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.111947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes48c43.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.86240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…4408backed No50c42.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.171369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…4300backed No52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No48c38.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8320758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb45…af4fbacked No52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed No50c32.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7329644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a66…707fbacked No51c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.327051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda7b…4ceebacked No52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes50c26.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.823953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No51c25.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.