Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x431072ab6bab446649aa20025f820e307bd99b633ed83d344b4c38ba7703881e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,292 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 58c | 14,243$8,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,260.71 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Yes | 2c | 11,355$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 9,782$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,348.42 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 8,066$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.44 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 4,408$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 1,996$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.96 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 30c | 1,322$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.95 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 985.96$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 894.49$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.19 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 31c | 599.57$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 42c | 426$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 324.46$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.31 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 35c | 285.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 41c | 235$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 227.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 45c | 222.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…8352backed Yes | 57c | 213.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…9b13backed No | 44c | 208.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6d…9b95backed No | 44c | 183.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…ab23backed Yes | 57c | 178.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 44c | 176$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 44c | 170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…455ebacked Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Yes | 59c | 112.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 102$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 42c | 87.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 73c | 84.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 60c | 76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 71.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 58c | 59.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 51.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 57c | 41.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 38c | 39.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 33c | 38.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 38.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 57c | 34.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 30c | 34.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yes | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 50c | 31.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…5775backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd203…dd06backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 48c | 25.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 56c | 18.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Yes | 59c | 17.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will FC Alverca vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.