Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Alverca vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x511e2fd25bc438d33d5a9823e65117379764aef0e9f80f51649bd80f6fafec57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,551 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 51c | 2,076$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.97 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 1,193$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.82 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Under | 49c | 338.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 308.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 148.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 146.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 142.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 15c | 137.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 135.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Over | 52c | 59.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 48c | 47.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Over | 49c | 37.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 33c | 33.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…7982backed Under | 51c | 31.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…ff0abacked Over | 50c | 29.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…daf5backed Over | 50c | 28.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…39a1backed Under | 51c | 26.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 48c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Alverca vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Alverca vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Alverca vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)FC Alverca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.