TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof NRG, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$292,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports78c23,385$18,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,184.583,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed FUT Esports37c11,138$4,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,027.696737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed NRG48c9,953$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.8133343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3936…366dbacked NRG18c9,275$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.592944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports75c8,656$6,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.392,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG34c8,275$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.861,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG31c7,928$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.191,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG37c7,862$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,947.3888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG44c6,549$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.0587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG24c5,785$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.792,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FUT Esports54c5,346$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,44044957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG33c5,100$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.231,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked NRG42c4,709$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.5459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG31c4,226$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.091,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed NRG43c3,640$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.361,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked NRG27c3,272$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.840140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed FUT Esports74c3,187$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.6211253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked FUT Esports37c3,044$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.458562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed NRG58c2,851$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.6737646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed FUT Esports40c2,639$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.2110044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed NRG65c2,342$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.1238868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports22c1,988$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.771,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked NRG54c1,961$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05015838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked FUT Esports66c1,951$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.6611947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG37c1,878$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.261,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FUT Esports55c1,850$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.2975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked FUT Esports74c1,760$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.5541069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked FUT Esports43c1,630$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.2320041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked NRG26c1,507$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0814044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed FUT Esports21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.9948437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed FUT Esports72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8998856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports59c1,287$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.696,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed FUT Esports59c1,213$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.4316155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed NRG4c1,208$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7343544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG53c1,121$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.944,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked FUT Esports70c1,095$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3628657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed NRG31c990.32$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.979441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG10c941$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.162,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FUT Esports47c935.8$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.792,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked NRG38c926.32$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked NRG38c901.87$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.181,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed NRG34c899.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067152.1%37 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG64c861.75$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.711,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed FUT Esports29c855$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.3520251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f89…11e9backed FUT Esports37c818.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.92785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports52c817.31$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.3153545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…7c04backed FUT Esports37c800$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked NRG22c777$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.940253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports37c744.74$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.451,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports74c734.6$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.492,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed NRG53c730.05$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.0355043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed FUT Esports65c696.92$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9822761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80a…5874backed NRG65c687.07$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports73c684.9$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.735,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked FUT Esports30c615.9$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3139847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed NRG46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6532346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed FUT Esports28c600$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43228960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb46…3692backed FUT Esports62c597.86$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.292268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+54.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed NRG25c585.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3723243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed NRG47c581.45$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6430254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed FUT Esports71c561.21$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7313655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports58c560.76$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.52,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed FUT Esports21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39531642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports62c491.44$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.125,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports52c481.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.877,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG35c412.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.565,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked FUT Esports50c409.5$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.56256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed FUT Esports50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20029934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG30c365.11$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.543,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports60c359.02$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.774,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked NRG42c353.89$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9548319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed FUT Esports41c348.56$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked FUT Esports50c340$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17019747.2%93 W · 104 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed NRG42c330$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.422349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed NRG31c325.23$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.41,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked NRG29c324.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.774942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2e…d554backed NRG22c321.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed NRG16c320$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed NRG25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.652,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed FUT Esports53c283$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0120344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed NRG64c273.09$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7845058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed FUT Esports37c271.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8155738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports36c270$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.196545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ef…4a40backed NRG27c261.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8850%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports55c254.89$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.92,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked FUT Esports39c253.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.858161.7%50 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…ab29backed NRG80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports60c250$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.863,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed NRG50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed FUT Esports40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15056738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FUT Esports54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.992,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked NRG65c246.31$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed FUT Esports52c246.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1547447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked NRG31c211.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked FUT Esports50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10529156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FUT Esports31c206.52$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.222,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed NRG28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5644939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed FUT Esports50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed FUT Esports49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2932042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed NRG27c197.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3711133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.