CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05f3ea26127106425dc073e8e805521567a9ad578c5dab7772e3149c7bbbe398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 63c | 3,159$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.43 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 36c | 1,200$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.98 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 37c | 813$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.81 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…f3c7backed Over | 38c | 709.7$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 37c | 554.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 63c | 498.57$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Over | 37c | 467.57$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 37c | 405.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 34c | 299.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 290.39$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 62c | 238.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 38c | 186.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 64c | 181.27$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 66c | 167.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 77c | 105.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 101.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 36c | 76.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…01d2backed Over | 37c | 72.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 67c | 44.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 77c | 33.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 154 | 60.4%93 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45f…da16backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 63c | 20.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 72c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 77c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group AFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.