Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ShindeN vs University War - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d8ed9e44bce18242089e13ae64239b9277ce1178e58e9e72c2106584bbc6f03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- University Warof ShindeN, University War
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8705…edbabacked University War | 54c | 315.62$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked University War | 55c | 305.78$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed ShindeN | 61c | 293.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed University War | 47c | 257.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ShindeN | 42c | 196.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ShindeN | 50c | 182.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked University War | 52c | 179.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked University War | 69c | 139.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed ShindeN | 68c | 133.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 52c | 107.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked ShindeN | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 65c | 73.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ShindeN | 56c | 71.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked University War | 70c | 35.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ShindeN | 66c | 33.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed University War | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed University War | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed University War | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ShindeN vs University War - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: ShindeN vs University War (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group BUniversity War won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs University War - Map 2 WinnerUniversity War won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.