TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: ShindeN vs University War (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
University Warof ShindeN, University War
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd31…8004backed University War46c741.96$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.1522047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eae…d46dbacked ShindeN60c604.82$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.973161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb386…5087backed ShindeN58c304.2$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed University War79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked University War61c232.2$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4131153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed University War27c215.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1116041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked University War45c202.7$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6894361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked ShindeN75c200.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2486747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN41c194.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.61,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed ShindeN58c185.91$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.831844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed ShindeN49c176.89$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1520248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed University War58c163.69$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.561,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed ShindeN38c163.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.966732.8%22 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed University War44c117.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.155538.2%21 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed ShindeN33c98.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6310630.2%32 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked ShindeN13c94.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3530828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed University War25c86.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6616046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed ShindeN43c84.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1523447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda78…f83abacked ShindeN46c77.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed University War56c73.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.39654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d19…58c4backed University War56c60.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e0…fe90backed ShindeN28c47.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42825%7 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4990…d300backed ShindeN55c36.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb0…ed25backed University War44c32.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.367745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed University War71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8532261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed ShindeN45c28.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7711258%65 W · 47 L+12.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed University War47c27.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6734739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed ShindeN76c20.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.516251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked University War78c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.342989.7%26 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick78cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66b3…cbe0backed ShindeN76c19.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.792250%11 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed ShindeN68c15.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6315642.3%66 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.