Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ShindeN vs University War - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe954bc7c9c7d031a507e26f95858a7325d0a626d9c7ced5548a73beef77fad95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- University Warof ShindeN, University War
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ShindeN | 60c | 456.55$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.12 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked ShindeN | 75c | 328.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.74 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed University War | 25c | 310.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ShindeN | 46c | 266.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed ShindeN | 30c | 207$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed University War | 29c | 136.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked University War | 15c | 114.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked University War | 70c | 110.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed University War | 50c | 99.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked University War | 24c | 99.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed University War | 20c | 85.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked ShindeN | 50c | 78.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed University War | 17c | 77.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked University War | 32c | 67.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…cda2backed University War | 67c | 51.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ShindeN vs University War - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: ShindeN vs University War (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group BUniversity War won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs University War - Map 1 WinnerUniversity War won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.