Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20b01c09fc906a106c85db28da0fd96761ec1b8037f17a51a9affc42a147a1e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked L1ga Team | 1c | 10,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked L1ga Team | 10c | 8,749$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.93 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked L1ga Team | 10c | 5,709$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.89 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked L1ga Team | 10c | 3,054$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.99 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed L1ga Team | 1c | 2,244$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed L1ga Team | 11c | 1,584$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.92 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed L1ga Team | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed L1ga Team | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed L1ga Team | 9c | 814.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…a3fabacked L1ga Team | 12c | 715.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed L1ga Team | 6c | 698.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed L1ga Team | 3c | 624.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed L1ga Team | 10c | 523.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked L1ga Team | 6c | 512.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 2c | 510.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked L1ga Team | 10c | 483.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed L1ga Team | 6c | 458.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team | 11c | 425.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked L1ga Team | 9c | 284.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed L1ga Team | 10c | 164.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed L1ga Team | 8c | 132.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked L1ga Team | 10c | 106.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed L1ga Team | 10c | 103.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed L1ga Team | 11c | 102.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.