Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815e037470c898e4f027308009422d55e192bd48a1da7e2913d526fe98222aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 32,478$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,278.07 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 16,917$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,912.89 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 15,345$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 14,007$5,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,754.28 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 9,500$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 8,016$5,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.55 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 6,238$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.48 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 5,986$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.57 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 5,698$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.13 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 5,010$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.09 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,864$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.55 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 4,002$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.79 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 3,831$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.96 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 3,166$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.36 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,641$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.81 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,600$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.45 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,454$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.44 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,142$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.64 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,040$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.38 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,946$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.99 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,932$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.3 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,813$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.93 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,536$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.74 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,432$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.32 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,420$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.3 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,403$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.49 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,375$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.76 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,334$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.59 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,253$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.95 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,193$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.99 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…3cb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,152$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,078$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.88 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,071$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.81 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,059$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.07 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,025$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 1,020$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.23 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,011$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.6 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 932.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 892.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.19 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 861.47$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 827.77$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.47 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 820$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 2c | 749.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 731.92$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 724.22$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.14 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 674.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.24 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 673.47$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 663.8$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.93 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 659.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 647.73$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.64 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 601.38$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.63 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 600$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.69 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…daa9backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 585.77$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 560.54$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.54 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 553$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.21 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 543.9$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.9 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 543.78$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 537.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 506.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 505.91$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.3 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 505$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.78 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 500$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.05 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 481.03$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 473.74$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.74 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 469$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 468$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.89 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 451.72$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 441.25$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 437.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 434.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 430.23$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 419.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 414.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 398$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 366.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 365.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 362$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 355.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 348.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 337.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.37 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 310.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 307.41$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 304.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 294.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 264.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…f45fbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 254.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.