NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004f4277e34b97ab2839aa5a0f5990ab43b2dcfbc8ce4b444adfb49db5a3d207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Bulls, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Bulls | 20c | 47,380$9,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,637.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bulls | 16c | 17,123$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.88 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pacers | 79c | 14,889$11,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.3 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bulls | 19c | 14,590$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.05 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers | 80c | 12,708$10,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.66 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 79c | 12,600$9,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.54 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 20c | 8,124$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 80c | 5,641$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.86 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 79c | 4,146$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls | 22c | 3,969$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.47 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 1c | 3,700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 1c | 3,485$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 19c | 2,800$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.64 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Bulls | 11c | 2,610$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers | 80c | 2,443$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.18 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bulls | 19c | 2,234$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.46 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bulls | 21c | 2,175$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.75 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Bulls | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed Pacers | 80c | 1,846$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…d101backed Bulls | 19c | 1,709$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 77c | 1,578$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.87 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bulls | 24c | 1,361$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Bulls | 20c | 1,258$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls | 20c | 1,121$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Bulls | 19c | 1,069$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Pacers | 80c | 1,041$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bulls | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bulls | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 20c | 954$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bulls | 29c | 946.65$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.53 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 20c | 870.93$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.53 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pacers | 78c | 837.11$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Pacers | 73c | 817.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.49 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…f7b9backed Bulls | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Bulls | 24c | 714.28$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pacers | 80c | 712$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers | 79c | 700$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers | 78c | 647.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls | 8c | 638.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls | 20c | 606$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls | 17c | 587.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Bulls | 28c | 564.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…55a8backed Bulls | 22c | 530.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Bulls | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Bulls | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Pacers | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls | 22c | 483.72$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…bdebbacked Pacers | 76c | 441$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Bulls | 20c | 427.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Bulls | 14c | 424.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Bulls | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 75c | 395.16$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Bulls | 24c | 378.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…72e3backed Bulls | 18c | 377.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Bulls | 18c | 335.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pacers | 77c | 327.2$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Bulls | 4c | 309.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…4bd6backed Bulls | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Bulls | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Bulls | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…c5f7backed Bulls | 22c | 286.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Bulls | 36c | 278.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…ea8abacked Bulls | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Bulls | 19c | 270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Bulls | 18c | 264.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Bulls | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Bulls | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…2af2backed Bulls | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ba…ac5bbacked Bulls | 20c | 218.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Bulls | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Bulls | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Pacers | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Bulls | 20c | 195$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Bulls | 15c | 191.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bulls | 27c | 189.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Bulls | 18c | 180$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls | 27c | 175.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…9e2ebacked Bulls | 7c | 171.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Pacers | 80c | 167$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls | 25c | 164.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bulls | 20c | 153.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers | 80c | 147$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…1d32backed Bulls | 20c | 146.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…4d7ebacked Bulls | 22c | 137.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers | 80c | 131.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…bfc7backed Bulls | 16c | 126.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls | 22c | 126.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bulls | 21c | 125.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Pacers | 80c | 125.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e6…5d2bbacked Pacers | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…d757backed Bulls | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…7813backed Bulls | 21c | 119.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…6034backed Bulls | 27c | 118.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed Pacers | 79c | 116.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 69cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.