Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6fc5346452a096828cc8387c350bafe3b1123602fcf8b73bf4d07534fa23ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 31,769$24,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,633.44 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed REKONIX | 26c | 14,147$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.95 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed REKONIX | 23c | 10,666$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.28 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 10,435$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.89 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 17c | 8,239$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.19 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed REKONIX | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 22c | 4,883$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 22c | 4,124$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.95 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 8c | 3,246$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.77 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 5c | 3,138$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REKONIX | 22c | 3,120$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.47 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 2,961$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.18 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 23c | 2,524$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.88 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 9c | 2,310$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked REKONIX | 27c | 2,168$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.28 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 2,015$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.48 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 23c | 2,004$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.92 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 3c | 1,914$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 13c | 1,880$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked REKONIX | 23c | 1,366$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.11 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 877$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked REKONIX | 23c | 870$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed REKONIX | 22c | 802$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.31 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 16c | 770.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…72c1backed REKONIX | 10c | 764$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 2c | 750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 667.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed REKONIX | 25c | 599.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed REKONIX | 20c | 563.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked REKONIX | 27c | 559.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed REKONIX | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked BetBoom Team | 73c | 387.72$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked REKONIX | 23c | 278.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…c8adbacked REKONIX | 11c | 263.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 262.39$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed REKONIX | 21c | 255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 255$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed REKONIX | 25c | 236.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 220.85$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 21c | 219.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 203.7$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 24c | 197.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 190$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 18c | 154.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 128.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 107.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 21c | 105.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed REKONIX | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed BetBoom Team | 74c | 100.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed REKONIX | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked REKONIX | 25c | 92.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed REKONIX | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed REKONIX | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed REKONIX | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0736…a8c8backed REKONIX | 27c | 47.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.