Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x120ff396d8721d9b42ae63b20a378682b683b0ca0ddf8708c7c1be2373c528cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.67 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked REKONIX | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked REKONIX | 40c | 6,526$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.22 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked REKONIX | 40c | 6,386$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 2,170$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BetBoom Team | 59c | 605$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.05 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed REKONIX | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 330$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 303.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 196.47$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 194.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 194.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 168$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed REKONIX | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked BetBoom Team | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked BetBoom Team | 58c | 52.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5f…1c3cbacked BetBoom Team | 59c | 29.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed REKONIX | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.