TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, REKONIX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX21c6,037$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.011,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed REKONIX21c5,551$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14743344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…7ebfbacked REKONIX1c4,100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed BetBoom Team79c4,086$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.2734468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX17c3,598$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.311,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX20c3,406$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.711,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed BetBoom Team80c2,900$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.551364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed REKONIX21c2,633$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.8530336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed REKONIX18c2,365$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.2325935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX10c2,249$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.561,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX20c1,776$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.251,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked BetBoom Team79c1,597$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8879859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX20c1,194$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.745750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked BetBoom Team80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed BetBoom Team79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed REKONIX15c999.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2847650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX20c875.26$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.051,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…7658backed REKONIX2c858.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.423571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed REKONIX4c749.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed BetBoom Team79c737.37$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed REKONIX19c621.3$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0558356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BetBoom Team78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13274549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed BetBoom Team77c599.99$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13753758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed REKONIX19c539.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed REKONIX22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed BetBoom Team75c479.76$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9456852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed BetBoom Team79c470$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.734561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe110…ade6backed REKONIX22c431.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5692056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX16c357$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1288539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce0…72c1backed REKONIX24c346.21$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.093729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked BetBoom Team80c331.49$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.36981.2%56 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick73cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed REKONIX17c329.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5622461.2%137 W · 87 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed BetBoom Team77c327.14$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2416256.8%92 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX17c312$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2156548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked BetBoom Team79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.513145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX21c240$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked BetBoom Team78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4465863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX20c180$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3658250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX15c146.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked REKONIX21c139.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6237223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX21c139.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2416242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed REKONIX19c126$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9441050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2564149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed REKONIX18c119.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4415848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked REKONIX23c109.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0756343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX19c106$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed BetBoom Team78c99.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed REKONIX19c75.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2535151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4861…9acfbacked REKONIX21c50.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.385257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed REKONIX20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030834.1%105 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3621…2d2dbacked BetBoom Team75c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.255558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+65.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed BetBoom Team80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac17…eccabacked BetBoom Team76c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4717446%80 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.