TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$824,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$867,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $824,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Knicks62c151,998$94,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,745.5111842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d2…6b91backed Wizards0c58,332$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Knicks79c45,718$35,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,815.7311164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Wizards12c36,272$4,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,414.7525138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards33c31,839$10,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,605.8165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards35c25,673$9,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,025.963,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards15c24,423$3,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,773.5847542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Wizards46c24,369$11,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,098.0511459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Knicks76c22,976$17,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,510.337248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards12c22,884$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.8796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Knicks74c14,651$10,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,860.595267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards15c11,733$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.131,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Wizards50c11,204$5,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,548.8170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards29c11,113$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.261,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards11c11,076$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.8772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Wizards17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Knicks75c9,000$6,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Wizards30c6,298$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.0813920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Knicks77c5,268$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.9415056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards14c5,142$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.861,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wizards19c5,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards13c4,712$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.5777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Wizards15c4,700$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Wizards11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Wizards31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Knicks64c3,138$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.717141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Wizards40c2,962$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.0534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Knicks78c2,935$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.33284.4%27 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75c1…5a05backed Knicks63c2,889$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.232544%11 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Wizards8c2,743$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7318518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards15c2,569$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Knicks49c2,487$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.2861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f05…8ad8backed Wizards71c2,435$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.012152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd324…000bbacked Wizards15c2,389$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards24c2,374$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.421,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Wizards14c2,350$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3291118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-64.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked Knicks78c2,311$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.441631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Wizards55c2,028$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.199330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Knicks71c2,021$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.5936057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ee…45bbbacked Wizards30c2,007$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.19944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6009…acf9backed Wizards14c2,001$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853129%9 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Wizards14c1,857$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Knicks47c1,783$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.5113140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Knicks63c1,617$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.2739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7896…3e00backed Wizards49c1,588$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.332142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Knicks71c1,407$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4076855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed Wizards14c1,360$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Wizards30c1,323$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7336843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Wizards24c1,293$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4819350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Knicks78c1,276$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8723835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Knicks78c1,225$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26829661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Knicks79c1,156$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8715763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Wizards15c1,067$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608033.8%27 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Wizards37c1,057$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1319231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Wizards13c1,007$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.958040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2838…2dd9backed Wizards14c1,004$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks72c900$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards14c879.02$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Wizards47c877.63$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.63053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Knicks80c836.18$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0837831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2c…b94dbacked Wizards13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Knicks70c743.49$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.546347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wizards18c702.96$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010730.8%33 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards8c700$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5968642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Wizards7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Wizards14c667.38$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8648137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Wizards11c646.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.337011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Wizards42c595.51$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2315947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf9…3084backed Wizards13c531.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wizards8c520.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.181,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Knicks39c513.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.653537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Wizards21c500$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2913341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Wizards20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…ab4fbacked Wizards13c499.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Wizards10c499.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.985240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Wizards20c494.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9916825.6%43 W · 125 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Knicks77c465.19$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.618150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Wizards13c410.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1110837%40 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards13c399.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards24c387.3$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.451,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Wizards13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034551.3%177 W · 168 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb8…c405backed Wizards41c350$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.893447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Wizards48c344.67$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.456947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Wizards24c332.61$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9721723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4282…9e7dbacked Wizards14c321.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked Wizards16c312.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.682128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3538…e615backed Wizards21c310.74$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.82161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+131%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0ca…a4b4backed Knicks60c308.12$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.063438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed Wizards6c307.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Knicks40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18015341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Knicks66c295.05$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0588335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6109…8a3ebacked Wizards50c277.14$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.573444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x462a…8b5cbacked Wizards23c275$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2515639.7%62 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Wizards11c273$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0345251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Wizards11c273$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0336651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wizards11c273$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0371747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Wizards11c273$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0311150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Knicks66c272.89$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8930648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Wizards12c270.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.437536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.