NFL · resolved market
Will the Eagles and Rams combine for 44 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5223125ed4d53cb53ab2e7e40de0eb42ee830c0168a8eb559a911edabaec84e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Under | 53c | 4,349$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.12 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Over | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 49c | 1,000$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.66 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 49c | 820$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 51c | 500$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…5a22backed Over | 50c | 112.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…8b53backed Over | 50c | 100.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…b4f3backed Under | 55c | 91.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…84b7backed Over | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4adc…7639backed Over | 49c | 83.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Under | 50c | 50.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…9acebacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…b140backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeade…0823backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Eagles and Rams combine for 44 or more points?this page
- Will the Eagles beat the Rams by 7 or more points?Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.