NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d46dff9449596b43c02980e7b37f49c4c43214a2646f3d3a6240682bd19a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f04…2149backed Sabres | 43c | 10,012$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…a983backed Senators | 57c | 9,995$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,696.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres | 40c | 9,810$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,885.79 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Senators | 60c | 9,296$5,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,577.61 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 2c | 5,400$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Sabres | 40c | 3,465$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.33 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Senators | 60c | 3,351$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 60c | 2,561$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.65 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…9e6cbacked Senators | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…b5cebacked Sabres | 42c | 1,555$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Senators | 27c | 1,373$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.3 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Sabres | 73c | 1,264$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.8 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…a82ebacked Sabres | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccd…64e0backed Senators | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Senators | 58c | 962.73$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…2c58backed Senators | 59c | 816.95$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Sabres | 44c | 816.29$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 3c | 678.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Sabres | 41c | 599.91$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Sabres | 42c | 537.66$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Sabres | 41c | 500.05$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.03 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Sabres | 41c | 488.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.47 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…3e46backed Senators | 58c | 470$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Senators | 60c | 333.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Senators | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Senators | 7c | 321.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Sabres | 42c | 303.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…c4bbbacked Sabres | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…863ebacked Senators | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Senators | 59c | 283.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Sabres | 43c | 275$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators | 19c | 273.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Sabres | 70c | 255.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres | 42c | 249.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 41c | 205$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Sabres | 42c | 200.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Senators | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…a27dbacked Sabres | 39c | 196.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…2930backed Senators | 61c | 196.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…4361backed Sabres | 39c | 191.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…3c27backed Senators | 61c | 191.18$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Sabres | 41c | 178.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Senators | 59c | 171$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…5b30backed Sabres | 42c | 170.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Senators | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…0121backed Sabres | 42c | 164$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…c3bfbacked Senators | 58c | 164$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Sabres | 64c | 163.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sabres | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 22c | 142.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Sabres | 38c | 124.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…bf0bbacked Sabres | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd315…3edfbacked Sabres | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75b7…a6a8backed Senators | 59c | 103.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…a17bbacked Sabres | 78c | 101.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…4c1fbacked Sabres | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…7d0fbacked Sabres | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Senators | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Sabres | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sabres | 40c | 94.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sabres | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Sabres | 40c | 88.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…e610backed Sabres | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…a953backed Senators | 59c | 86.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…86dabacked Sabres | 43c | 86.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b3…3211backed Senators | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Senators | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Senators | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…e43bbacked Senators | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa3…78c6backed Sabres | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Senators | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Sabres | 43c | 75.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…e8dabacked Sabres | 42c | 72.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Sabres | 77c | 71.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…52fbbacked Senators | 62c | 68.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Senators | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Senators | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d38…ebf1backed Senators | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Sabres | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8a…b5ecbacked Senators | 58c | 58.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 41c | 58.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…7b82backed Senators | 58c | 57.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…2630backed Sabres | 41c | 54.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Senators | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…c961backed Senators | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…a266backed Senators | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…2cd0backed Sabres | 43c | 42.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Senators | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…927dbacked Senators | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…9fc1backed Sabres | 45c | 41.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Senators | 56c | 41.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…00dcbacked Senators | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…955cbacked Senators | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…6987backed Senators | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.