NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e280ce9a364937d8adb45dd6dd16ab423f16c92e93e2cb42ca748952cbe0ebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Raptors, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16c4…fd3fbacked Raptors | 0c | 21,166$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…53a6backed Raptors | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…4978backed Raptors | 0c | 10,954$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Raptors | 1c | 10,593$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Raptors | 12c | 10,162$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.77 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Raptors | 1c | 6,400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Raptors | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Raptors | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…3e05backed Raptors | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 13c | 3,371$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.04 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Raptors | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Raptors | 16c | 2,410$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.64 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 15c | 2,304$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.41 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…94f5backed Raptors | 12c | 1,700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Raptors | 13c | 1,555$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.11 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Raptors | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors | 7c | 1,300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 11c | 1,255$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…55d4backed Raptors | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 2c | 1,110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 13c | 999.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…4693backed Raptors | 11c | 999.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Raptors | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Raptors | 12c | 690.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 11c | 640.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 11c | 595.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Raptors | 13c | 592.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 11c | 587.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Raptors | 7c | 586.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Raptors | 12c | 499.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Raptors | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Raptors | 14c | 384.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…4d52backed Raptors | 4c | 362.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…9970backed Raptors | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Raptors | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Raptors | 13c | 230.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…1af7backed Raptors | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Raptors | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…25cfbacked Raptors | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…969bbacked Raptors | 8c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…4727backed Raptors | 12c | 142$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +232.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…53d6backed Raptors | 11c | 137$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…47d0backed Raptors | 10c | 129.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…43dbbacked Raptors | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…24debacked Raptors | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Raptors | 12c | 115.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…6bfcbacked Raptors | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Raptors | 19c | 106.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Raptors | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3974…d26fbacked Raptors | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…1e8abacked Raptors | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Raptors | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…a723backed Raptors | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Raptors | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Raptors | 12c | 99.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Raptors | 12c | 98.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed Raptors | 12c | 85.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…740cbacked Raptors | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…5b30backed Knicks | 74c | 30.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…52ccbacked Knicks | 75c | 30.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397a…4904backed Knicks | 75c | 29.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…80d3backed Knicks | 77c | 29.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Knicks | 77c | 28.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…5ac0backed Knicks | 79c | 28.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cb…9115backed Knicks | 75c | 25.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf790…5ba0backed Knicks | 80c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…cf65backed Knicks | 74c | 25.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…c4efbacked Knicks | 80c | 24.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…de91backed Knicks | 74c | 23.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…4948backed Knicks | 80c | 23.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4f…dde5backed Knicks | 74c | 22.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f44…073cbacked Knicks | 75c | 22.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…d767backed Knicks | 73c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…829bbacked Knicks | 74c | 19.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…6f0bbacked Knicks | 74c | 19.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…5eb2backed Knicks | 79c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…d4cfbacked Knicks | 76c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…73bebacked Knicks | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…757bbacked Knicks | 78c | 16.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…d6d9backed Knicks | 79c | 16.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0b…8fe8backed Knicks | 76c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…df78backed Knicks | 77c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f54…04d4backed Knicks | 77c | 13.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3583backed Knicks | 76c | 13.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1069…61ffbacked Knicks | 80c | 12.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.