TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof 76ers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers19c8,923$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.5265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Cavaliers80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00034644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers16c4,947$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.0296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed 76ers15c4,591$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.6413920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked 76ers18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed 76ers14c2,800$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.435935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Cavaliers77c2,699$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.7311842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.691,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked 76ers30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed 76ers15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76c6…5a68backed 76ers17c1,600$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed 76ers20c1,540$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.598040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed 76ers28c1,526$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.6361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed 76ers16c1,329$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6175347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed 76ers18c1,308$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked 76ers16c1,300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2087536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers16c992$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Cavaliers65c980$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.248137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Cavaliers79c900$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18729661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked 76ers15c860.47$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0721649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1048…f83abacked 76ers16c665$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd9…f84ebacked 76ers17c648$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b1…4891backed 76ers17c634$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-49.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ba…3aa4backed 76ers18c628.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf221…bc81backed 76ers17c623$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed 76ers17c619$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed 76ers16c617.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8211150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers80c600$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Cavaliers77c600$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1405468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc79…a071backed 76ers17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a79…14d7backed 76ers17c599$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers10c596.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.871,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ab…cf8ebacked 76ers17c573$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1b…f044backed 76ers17c544$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.48425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…bb0dbacked 76ers17c533$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed 76ers29c525$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.258144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Cavaliers66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76df…dd48backed 76ers17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15eb…95cabacked 76ers17c460$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+117%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee1…9200backed 76ers17c455$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7238…8c4abacked 76ers17c432$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.44520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers78c400$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.531,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x586a…d51ebacked 76ers17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed 76ers19c399.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7639843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2696…c196backed 76ers20c333.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed 76ers17c274.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9317141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers16c255$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked 76ers19c237.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8914941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6eb…50e9backed Cavaliers80c233$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed 76ers17c226.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked 76ers16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511849.2%58 W · 60 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed 76ers19c204.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2924549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabcf…4cfcbacked 76ers17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked 76ers20c180$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365628.6%16 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+62.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed 76ers17c179.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2810837%40 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Cavaliers78c170$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2311258.9%66 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked 76ers17c153$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9517244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Cavaliers74c145.27$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6225957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed 76ers17c144.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers16c139.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.971,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd824…480abacked 76ers17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2446…75d0backed 76ers17c123.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed 76ers16c123.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6893036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked 76ers16c122.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6214129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb338…ad5bbacked 76ers21c119.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.562540%10 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Cavaliers78c110$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.111337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc7…45b8backed 76ers28c105.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6152…d8f3backed 76ers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb180…e610backed 76ers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…6519backed 76ers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Cavaliers67c99.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9937831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1c…e7f1backed 76ers17c88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+109.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe43c…e595backed Cavaliers79c79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f3…3c21backed 76ers16c78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe555…782fbacked 76ers18c77.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers75c74.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Cavaliers74c66.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6434246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb6…53d6backed 76ers16c63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0880%0 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x050f…daa4backed 76ers22c52.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a0…31d0backed 76ers26c50.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.821127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33b…5d3bbacked Cavaliers79c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cavaliers77c42.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8637852.9%200 W · 178 L-20.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…131fbacked Cavaliers80c39.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c28…72c2backed 76ers31c33.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4340%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e94…ad43backed Cavaliers79c31.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d3…de89backed Cavaliers77c31.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.15366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0153…867cbacked Cavaliers74c30.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96b…e708backed Cavaliers77c30.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1f…cb6abacked Cavaliers77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x771a…b669backed Cavaliers78c29.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.565100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x783b…3583backed Cavaliers72c28.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a2…3facbacked Cavaliers77c28.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9b…314cbacked Cavaliers79c28.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7454…d427backed Cavaliers74c28.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc306…ccf1backed Cavaliers78c27.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.08560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x190e…052fbacked Cavaliers77c27.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2906…add5backed Cavaliers74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf69d…7d94backed Cavaliers79c25.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.