NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d610892d0de07ac37fc97ed16d50fde9426f16518c5ac8f7a3a8fa75e865ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Lightning, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Lightning | 73c | 5,482$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Sharks | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.74 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Lightning | 6c | 1,900$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sharks | 57c | 1,476$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.78 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Sharks | 62c | 1,289$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.81 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 68c | 1,260$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.92 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Lightning | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 72c | 999.88$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.91 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 28c | 905.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.05 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 38c | 792.93$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.8 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Sharks | 28c | 714.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.27 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lightning | 22c | 687.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sharks | 27c | 641.46$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.26 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Sharks | 27c | 604.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Sharks | 35c | 541.37$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.89 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…b90fbacked Sharks | 28c | 527.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Lightning | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Sharks | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sharks | 28c | 499.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.97 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Lightning | 54c | 496.15$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.92 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Sharks | 79c | 490$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Sharks | 65c | 467.47$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks | 70c | 454.37$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Lightning | 72c | 448.56$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.96 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 5c | 443.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks | 28c | 427.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.49 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Lightning | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Lightning | 73c | 370$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Sharks | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…42a0backed Sharks | 75c | 349.61$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sharks | 27c | 340.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lightning | 68c | 324.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Lightning | 72c | 299.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks | 28c | 255$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lightning | 45c | 227.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Lightning | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Lightning | 40c | 182.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Lightning | 61c | 170.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…3921backed Sharks | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lightning | 54c | 156.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Sharks | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…cce7backed Lightning | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Sharks | 55c | 136.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b309backed Lightning | 72c | 136.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Lightning | 74c | 136.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Lightning | 41c | 125.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Sharks | 27c | 123.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Sharks | 46c | 123.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…ec57backed Sharks | 77c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 57c | 115.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Lightning | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Lightning | 53c | 105.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Lightning | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sharks | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Sharks | 28c | 88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…bd26backed Sharks | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Sharks | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Lightning | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Lightning | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Sharks | 28c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…e4d8backed Sharks | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sharks | 35c | 62.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Sharks | 71c | 62.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c3…b759backed Sharks | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d9…5d7cbacked Sharks | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sharks | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…c972backed Sharks | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe989…785abacked Sharks | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4121…ecb5backed Lightning | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e65…a9cebacked Lightning | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Sharks | 68c | 44.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Lightning | 72c | 44.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1694…a4c2backed Lightning | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Lightning | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…bfc8backed Lightning | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fc…5eafbacked Sharks | 28c | 40.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Lightning | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…2375backed Lightning | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Lightning | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…6fc6backed Lightning | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…4108backed Lightning | 73c | 34.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…ab79backed Lightning | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…c8acbacked Lightning | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 63cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…fc5ebacked Lightning | 73c | 34.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…e54dbacked Lightning | 72c | 32.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…8a4dbacked Lightning | 70c | 32.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…3520backed Lightning | 73c | 31.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…8300backed Lightning | 41c | 31.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…4143backed Lightning | 72c | 30.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd06…627dbacked Lightning | 71c | 29.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…3f83backed Lightning | 71c | 29.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…eb9dbacked Lightning | 72c | 29.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…e954backed Lightning | 71c | 28.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…edabbacked Lightning | 72c | 28.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…359cbacked Lightning | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1426…f8b9backed Lightning | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a706backed Lightning | 72c | 27.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.