Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4714ccb9435a82cbe3cb5c4278f5a7f5518730165269127e4ca23b69ec5088e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe100…4d41backed Team Heretics | 22c | 68,881$15,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,353.63 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 38,888$28,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,110.76 | 261 | 46.7%122 W · 139 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Heretics | 14c | 30,433$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.61 | 814 | 43.5%354 W · 460 L | +30.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Heretics | 18c | 24,873$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.24 | 1,638 | 40.2%659 W · 979 L | +49.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Heretics | 18c | 21,867$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.85 | 1,271 | 37.6%478 W · 793 L | +33.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Heretics | 18c | 15,691$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.58 | 487 | 50.1%244 W · 243 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Heretics | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Heretics | 15c | 14,472$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.8 | 575 | 46.3%266 W · 309 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Team Heretics | 25c | 14,458$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.48 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,207 | 54%652 W · 555 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Team Heretics | 33c | 6,579$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.89 | 375 | 43.7%164 W · 211 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Team Heretics | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed Team Heretics | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 284 | 38%108 W · 176 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Team Heretics | 17c | 4,112$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.97 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Team Heretics | 24c | 4,034$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.2 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Team Heretics | 15c | 4,001$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.15 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1,012 | 42.5%430 W · 582 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Heretics | 16c | 3,514$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.38 | 484 | 33.3%161 W · 323 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 3,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 892 | 44.1%393 W · 499 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 3,135$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.64 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Heretics | 15c | 3,013$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 270 | 34.8%94 W · 176 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Team Heretics | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 2,910$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.32 | 864 | 42.7%369 W · 495 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Heretics | 9c | 2,447$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.41 | 2,370 | 32%758 W · 1,612 L | +42.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Team Heretics | 12c | 2,406$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.25 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 2,230$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.79 | 364 | 55.2%201 W · 163 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Team Heretics | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,331 | 53.2%708 W · 623 L | +36.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Team Heretics | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 1,742$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.59 | 1,607 | 42.4%681 W · 926 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Heretics | 25c | 1,702$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.27 | 1,063 | 28.4%302 W · 761 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,647$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.33 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Team Heretics | 18c | 1,562$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Heretics | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2,545 | 47.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L | -35.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed Team Heretics | 16c | 1,459$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…3ce0backed Team Heretics | 11c | 1,420$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 152 | 11.8%18 W · 134 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 482 | 43.2%208 W · 274 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Team Heretics | 15c | 1,398$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 360 | 42.2%152 W · 208 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed Team Heretics | 3c | 1,355$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Team Heretics | 9c | 1,321$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Team Heretics | 19c | 1,143$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…8e4fbacked Team Heretics | 3c | 1,073$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Team Heretics | 18c | 1,043$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Team Heretics | 7c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | +64.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Heretics | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,475 | 28.9%427 W · 1,048 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…c390backed Team Heretics | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Heretics | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,229 | 35.9%441 W · 788 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4641…26bebacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 899.99$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Heretics | 20c | 849.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 1,593 | 55.2%880 W · 713 L | +82.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 848.78$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.58 | 780 | 55%429 W · 351 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Heretics | 17c | 843.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 178 | 26.4%47 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Heretics | 9c | 822$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 401 | 40.1%161 W · 240 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Team Heretics | 1c | 799.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 427 | 2.6%11 W · 416 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Team Heretics | 4c | 799.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 663 | 16.4%109 W · 554 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Heretics | 17c | 776.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 901 | 46.8%422 W · 479 L | +43.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Heretics | 6c | 745.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 791 | 9.7%77 W · 714 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Team Heretics | 14c | 741$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 471 | 52%245 W · 226 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf8…71a2backed Team Heretics | 7c | 684.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Team Heretics | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Team Heretics | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 706 | 15%106 W · 600 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Heretics | 27c | 482.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 694 | 41.4%287 W · 407 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…6d52backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 473.35$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Team Heretics | 11c | 465.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 437 | 39.6%173 W · 264 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Heretics | 16c | 464$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 573 | 34.4%197 W · 376 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Heretics | 16c | 458.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 500 | 57.4%287 W · 213 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Heretics | 25c | 444$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 526 | 45.2%238 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Team Heretics | 14c | 418.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 348 | 39.1%136 W · 212 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Heretics | 15c | 417.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 1,175 | 39.1%460 W · 715 L | -44.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…857dbacked Team Heretics | 7c | 414.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 1,018 | 47.7%486 W · 532 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Team Heretics | 8c | 400.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Team Heretics | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 573 | 10.3%59 W · 514 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Team Heretics | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0be1…fdafbacked Team Heretics | 8c | 399.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Team Heretics | 25c | 398.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 560 | 45%252 W · 308 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 379.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 169 | 62.7%106 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Team Heretics | 15c | 333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 370 | 43.5%161 W · 209 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Team Heretics | 8c | 321.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 32.4%55 W · 115 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Team Heretics | 12c | 316.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed Team Heretics | 17c | 303.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Team Heretics | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +17.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Heretics | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 1,107 | 46.3%513 W · 594 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 295$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 566 | 44.5%252 W · 314 L | -28.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 282.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Heretics | 14c | 272.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Heretics | 7c | 264.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2,727 | 35.9%980 W · 1,747 L | -153.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…3389backed Team Heretics | 7c | 249.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Heretics | 8c | 243.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,613 | 17.5%283 W · 1,330 L | -246.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ba0backed Team Heretics | 15c | 236.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 236.54$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 3,032 | 44.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L | -100.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Heretics | 6c | 232$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 890 | 43%383 W · 507 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…3750backed Team Heretics | 12c | 225.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Heretics | 5c | 224.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,366 | 47.4%648 W · 718 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Team Heretics | 25c | 221.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 219.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Team Heretics | 30c | 212.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 324 | 36.7%119 W · 205 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Team Heretics | 18c | 204$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Heretics | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a40cbacked Team Heretics | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 33.3%73 W · 146 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Team Heretics | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Heretics won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.