Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7907328692adfe26f0155a722827788fcef8300eb259963bbe5c55649173b370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.96 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Over | 52c | 962.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.41 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 45c | 857.13$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.42 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Over | 52c | 548.67$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.31 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 48c | 527.48$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Under | 45c | 67.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 193 | 67.9%131 W · 62 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 59c | 48.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 48c | 32.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 221 | 58.4%129 W · 92 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 48c | 32.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Under | 48c | 31.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 50c | 29.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 48c | 26.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Heretics won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.