Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd609f1a52058e747f90f0eda82ae032ce9467788c0c6e948c3f20e55a3af2dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Team Heretics | 1c | 30,777$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Heretics | 8c | 22,222$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.75 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Heretics | 7c | 19,497$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.42 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Heretics | 6c | 11,654$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.48 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Heretics | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Team Heretics | 4c | 9,440$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.84 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…a961backed Team Heretics | 8c | 8,987$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.94 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Heretics | 8c | 4,105$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Heretics | 7c | 3,898$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Heretics | 9c | 3,433$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.68 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Heretics | 6c | 3,427$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…15dabacked Team Heretics | 4c | 3,100$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Team Heretics | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Heretics | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Team Heretics | 8c | 2,312$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.15 | 306 | 21.2%65 W · 241 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Team Heretics | 8c | 1,821$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 355 | 42.3%150 W · 205 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Heretics | 8c | 1,600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Team Heretics | 4c | 1,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Team Heretics | 3c | 1,418$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Team Heretics | 4c | 1,225$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Team Heretics | 3c | 1,213$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Team Heretics | 7c | 1,087$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Team Heretics | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Heretics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Team Heretics | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed Team Heretics | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Team Heretics | 5c | 787.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…6c15backed Team Heretics | 9c | 546.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…6834backed Team Heretics | 9c | 505.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…3dd9backed Team Heretics | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked Team Heretics | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 225 | 32.4%73 W · 152 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Team Heretics | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 342 | 44.7%153 W · 189 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…1acabacked Team Heretics | 4c | 475$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Team Heretics | 8c | 432.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Team Heretics | 6c | 428.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 170 | 32.4%55 W · 115 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…060ebacked Team Heretics | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 24.8%65 W · 197 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…fbd3backed Team Heretics | 9c | 399.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Team Heretics | 10c | 366.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Team Heretics | 10c | 360.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Team Heretics | 8c | 360.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Team Heretics | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Heretics | 9c | 339.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Team Heretics | 4c | 298.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Heretics | 7c | 294.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Team Heretics | 8c | 263.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Heretics | 5c | 261$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Team Heretics | 8c | 231.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…d40abacked Team Heretics | 8c | 224.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…b673backed Team Heretics | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Team Heretics | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed Team Heretics | 9c | 185.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Team Heretics | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Team Heretics | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Team Heretics | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Team Heretics | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Team Heretics | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonthis page
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Heretics won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.