CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x042de43d899aeea48551fc5933f68749ef44fe270ccc362ea25539c0f9aea93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof Bushido Wildcats, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Bushido Wildcats | 30c | 2,021$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.95 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 1,300$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.77 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed QUAZAR | 68c | 1,039$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR | 69c | 646.81$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 607$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed QUAZAR | 66c | 452.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed QUAZAR | 53c | 410.06$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed QUAZAR | 65c | 393.74$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 20c | 391.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QUAZAR | 62c | 390.32$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed QUAZAR | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 319.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bushido Wildcats | 20c | 315.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Bushido Wildcats | 14c | 312.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed QUAZAR | 80c | 288.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed QUAZAR | 53c | 275.21$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 212.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked QUAZAR | 79c | 209$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked QUAZAR | 57c | 204$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked QUAZAR | 55c | 199.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 179.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 174.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 160.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 16c | 155.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QUAZAR | 70c | 144.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed QUAZAR | 62c | 139$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Bushido Wildcats | 18c | 137.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 137.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…a418backed QUAZAR | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 109.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Bushido Wildcats | 18c | 108.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed QUAZAR | 72c | 102.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 519 | 69.2%359 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked QUAZAR | 53c | 101.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed QUAZAR | 70c | 100.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked QUAZAR | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 89.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed QUAZAR | 68c | 84.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed QUAZAR | 67c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 402 | 66.2%266 W · 136 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 82.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed QUAZAR | 61c | 67.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed QUAZAR | 74c | 63.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 49.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…c60abacked QUAZAR | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed QUAZAR | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 38.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed QUAZAR | 78c | 38.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked QUAZAR | 56c | 34.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…64c4backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 34.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed QUAZAR | 79c | 32.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked QUAZAR | 54c | 32.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed QUAZAR | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed QUAZAR | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed QUAZAR | 54c | 29.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed QUAZAR | 54c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…4349backed QUAZAR | 73c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed QUAZAR | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed QUAZAR | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…bff0backed QUAZAR | 76c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed QUAZAR | 72c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed QUAZAR | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked QUAZAR | 80c | 14.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed QUAZAR | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed QUAZAR | 75c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.