CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed42e1a51631b2b9bfb72858acb76262d675a5bd5f737da85ea4bb2c9d703ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof Bushido Wildcats, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed QUAZAR | 63c | 1,500$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.86 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 1,366$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.47 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed QUAZAR | 59c | 1,249$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.63 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 1,148$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.08 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 1,011$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 889.77$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked QUAZAR | 47c | 730.51$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.84 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked QUAZAR | 57c | 658.25$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.47 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed QUAZAR | 56c | 649.52$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.03 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed QUAZAR | 66c | 616.47$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 530$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked QUAZAR | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed QUAZAR | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.28 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 327.08$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed QUAZAR | 55c | 319.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed QUAZAR | 78c | 291.5$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 282.73$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 12c | 273.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 262.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 228.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed QUAZAR | 54c | 213.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 210.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 181.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…45fbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 165.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 149.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 102.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 87.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed QUAZAR | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked QUAZAR | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed QUAZAR | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed QUAZAR | 67c | 68.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked QUAZAR | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 57.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 52.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…8ed3backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 31c | 40.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 34.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked QUAZAR | 73c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed QUAZAR | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 PlayoffsQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.