CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd79d8f2ac56654b3d651abdfbd6c0199c337397f106d48f2e043ef7002c8b2b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof Bushido Wildcats, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 2,793$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.7 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed QUAZAR | 62c | 1,656$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.69 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed QUAZAR | 75c | 809.7$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.45 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed QUAZAR | 57c | 636$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 585$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR | 72c | 484.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked QUAZAR | 66c | 455.73$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 400.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QUAZAR | 67c | 375.64$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed QUAZAR | 58c | 350$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…45fbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 26c | 337$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 325.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked QUAZAR | 56c | 303.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed QUAZAR | 64c | 289.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked QUAZAR | 71c | 220.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked QUAZAR | 73c | 204.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QUAZAR | 71c | 187.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR | 71c | 183.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 80.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 80.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed QUAZAR | 67c | 74.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 65.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…64c4backed Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked QUAZAR | 63c | 56.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 55.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…6e29backed Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 51.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdf…30c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 45.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked QUAZAR | 63c | 41.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked QUAZAR | 70c | 30.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed QUAZAR | 52c | 28.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked QUAZAR | 76c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked QUAZAR | 78c | 13.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 PlayoffsQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.