CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa394547c12534b8b58f310c67999bc9a120e7f1ad1df0df11cc61d08bff5f69a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 60c | 1,448$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.6 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 24c | 1,030$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.68 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Lilmix | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Donstu Esports | 69c | 587.23$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 544.5$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lilmix | 24c | 540.39$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Donstu Esports | 69c | 495.39$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix | 25c | 481.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 39c | 440$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports | 71c | 406.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed Lilmix | 31c | 385.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Donstu Esports | 68c | 334.64$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Lilmix | 37c | 318.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Donstu Esports | 65c | 307.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Lilmix | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Donstu Esports | 62c | 278.34$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1e59backed Donstu Esports | 71c | 269.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 265.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lilmix | 20c | 238.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Lilmix | 43c | 232.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 74c | 229.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Donstu Esports | 66c | 219.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Lilmix | 37c | 205$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Lilmix | 13c | 200.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 71c | 191.82$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lilmix | 31c | 181.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lilmix | 28c | 163.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lilmix | 31c | 162.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Donstu Esports | 71c | 131.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lilmix | 20c | 101.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lilmix | 27c | 100.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Lilmix | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Lilmix | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 93.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Donstu Esports | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 85.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 513 | 52%267 W · 246 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Lilmix | 33c | 84.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lilmix | 15c | 83.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…4fcfbacked Lilmix | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lilmix | 30c | 80.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 79.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…4706backed Donstu Esports | 63c | 78.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Lilmix | 38c | 78.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Donstu Esports | 80c | 69.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Donstu Esports | 72c | 63.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 535 | 69.3%371 W · 164 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Donstu Esports | 60c | 60.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Lilmix | 27c | 55.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Donstu Esports | 63c | 47.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Donstu Esports | 63c | 45.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lilmix | 31c | 42.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Lilmix | 29c | 39.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Lilmix | 29c | 39.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Lilmix | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 142 | 62%88 W · 54 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Lilmix | 36c | 35.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 35.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Donstu Esports | 79c | 33.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 31.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Donstu Esports | 63c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 431 | 55.9%241 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Donstu Esports | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Donstu Esports | 59c | 20.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Lilmix | 52c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.