CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee9b289ec7bbff6ae923cc35fe243b50346d7f3f97ef3947c459c8588deb4566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Lilmix | 51c | 9,293$4,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.85 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 46c | 2,840$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 2,119$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 1,344$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.48 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 537.56$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Donstu Esports | 55c | 277$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 44c | 251.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Donstu Esports | 54c | 221.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Lilmix | 23c | 219.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 199.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Donstu Esports | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Donstu Esports | 55c | 193.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 40c | 156.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Donstu Esports | 77c | 131.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 118.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 69c | 97.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Donstu Esports | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Donstu Esports | 44c | 68.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Donstu Esports | 71c | 62.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Donstu Esports | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Donstu Esports | 53c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Donstu Esports | 55c | 55.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Donstu Esports | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Donstu Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Donstu Esports | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Lilmix | 39c | 26.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Donstu Esports | 51c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Donstu Esports | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Donstu Esports | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.