CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97e93f6779a2e7d84aa5b7da5c403251c58f87de23b0cdfc4ea132750cbb86e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 685.57$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 45c | 329.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports | 41c | 308.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lilmix | 21c | 241.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lilmix | 19c | 167$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 144.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Donstu Esports | 72c | 142.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Lilmix | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Donstu Esports | 55c | 114.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 42c | 100.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Donstu Esports | 42c | 88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lilmix | 16c | 78.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Lilmix | 65c | 75.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Lilmix | 46c | 71.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Lilmix | 56c | 69.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lilmix | 19c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Donstu Esports | 73c | 55.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Lilmix | 60c | 49.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lilmix | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Lilmix | 30c | 41.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Lilmix | 55c | 35.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Donstu Esports | 41c | 30.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix | 38c | 26.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Donstu Esports | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.