CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa03412e98e4ec3c4ca25804c94815db9120285d3c7e9d7085cb1d0a6b293d722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, KUUSAMO.gg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed KUUSAMO.gg | 35c | 667.64$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed KUUSAMO.gg | 28c | 573.28$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 516.09$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed KUUSAMO.gg | 38c | 481.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.09 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed KUUSAMO.gg | 22c | 325.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 9c | 280.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KUUSAMO.gg | 11c | 273.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KUUSAMO.gg | 10c | 252.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed KUUSAMO.gg | 10c | 232.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-MANA eSports | 66c | 207.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 21c | 189.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KUUSAMO.gg | 8c | 180.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 179.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 80c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 11c | 142.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 134$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 16c | 95.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed KUUSAMO.gg | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked KUUSAMO.gg | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 30c | 65.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 52.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 48.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed ex-MANA eSports | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed ex-MANA eSports | 68c | 43.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed KUUSAMO.gg | 38c | 43.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…e3a0backed KUUSAMO.gg | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 37.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 36.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 68c | 30.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…a53fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 29.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 66c | 28.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 22.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 19.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked ex-MANA eSports | 80c | 18.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 2 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs KUUSAMO.gg (+1.5)ex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.