CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d354a1efddfa6f24be00f75ef5eb0a87d07f032d19865cf21116e622cd42f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, KUUSAMO.gg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 6,534$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.94 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KUUSAMO.gg | 25c | 2,325$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed KUUSAMO.gg | 30c | 697$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 19c | 676$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed KUUSAMO.gg | 29c | 575.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 22c | 396.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed KUUSAMO.gg | 30c | 339.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed KUUSAMO.gg | 17c | 276.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 28c | 256.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KUUSAMO.gg | 17c | 227$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 23c | 216.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KUUSAMO.gg | 17c | 163.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 37c | 159.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed KUUSAMO.gg | 32c | 128.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked KUUSAMO.gg | 32c | 128.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 31c | 127.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked KUUSAMO.gg | 15c | 125.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 34c | 106.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked KUUSAMO.gg | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed KUUSAMO.gg | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 41c | 72.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 33c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed KUUSAMO.gg | 16c | 64.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 62.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed KUUSAMO.gg | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 51.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed KUUSAMO.gg | 25c | 51.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked KUUSAMO.gg | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed KUUSAMO.gg | 41c | 47.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked KUUSAMO.gg | 31c | 44.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 62c | 42.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed KUUSAMO.gg | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed KUUSAMO.gg | 33c | 35.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 28.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group Dex-MANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs KUUSAMO.gg (+1.5)ex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.