Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf968dad1c9b1e417a3b7a34bdcbfcf863373bd01bfce4e4f916241d555bcbb53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 311.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Over | 52c | 311.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 218.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 48c | 195.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 54c | 180.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 136.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 131.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed Under | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Under | 41c | 124.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 196 | 37.8%74 W · 122 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 40c | 91.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 58c | 86.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 56.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 51c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 300 | 42.7%128 W · 172 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 45c | 47.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 65c | 28.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 221 | 65.6%145 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Under | 54c | 28.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 65c | 16.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)SK Gaming won
- LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonSK Gaming won
- LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSK Gaming won
- LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSK Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.