Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b28f3470602c5552b22f3795442c032b2d37e06cafd05bdcfe778a422df2dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 1,953$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.61 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 901.62$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.37 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 884.6$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.3 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 788.36$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.22 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 46c | 759.38$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.52 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 625.92$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 45c | 539.31$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.7 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 50c | 439$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Over | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…56cfbacked Over | 50c | 395$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 24c | 278.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 20c | 260.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 43c | 172.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Over | 49c | 169.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 72c | 160.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 69c | 153.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 49c | 98.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 38c | 87.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 53c | 83.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 54c | 81.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 46c | 41.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…755ebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 49c | 29.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 51c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 48c | 24.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Over | 66c | 19.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.