TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0224…292abacked Under51c14,646$7,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,469.2225744.7%115 W · 142 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under50c13,661$6,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,812.5921647.7%103 W · 113 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over50c6,814$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40725547.5%121 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55014852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50092254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under50c4,444$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22223948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under49c2,256$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.1652750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Over51c2,010$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.8530843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00013735%48 W · 89 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over50c1,456$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72846450.6%235 W · 229 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under49c1,308$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.841,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over50c1,225$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.431,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c1,072$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.062,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…2d49backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006457.8%37 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over53c896.86$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.6834340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under48c714.75$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.0848944.4%217 W · 272 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c599.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.172,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed Over51c598.22$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.134643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over45c536$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2865043.1%280 W · 370 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.776844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over45c409.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.291,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c52…eaddbacked Over51c409$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Over50c402.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0411350.4%57 W · 56 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd29b…5e3dbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008828.4%25 W · 63 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over49c399.69$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8428843.1%124 W · 164 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under50c395.64$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8232955.6%183 W · 146 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over45c387$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8582836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Over51c369.32$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2766845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over73c352.95$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.661,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under7c249.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.312,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under50c230.04$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.021,39944.9%628 W · 771 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11026641%109 W · 157 L-1.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9133…20acbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004949%24 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013246.2%61 W · 71 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Over50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a2…aa49backed Over50c167.38$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.691978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f4d…c1bebacked Under52c153.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756443.8%28 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under50c144.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.957843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…2b03backed Over50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Over75c139.05$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0837662%233 W · 143 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Under51c116.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.583455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed Over50c101.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0715450.6%78 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5036852.2%192 W · 176 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…97a3backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502737%10 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012251.6%63 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28d8…eee6backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010144.6%45 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5119741.1%81 W · 116 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59fc…0102backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509558.9%56 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b25…edc5backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1512253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ce…f916backed Over48c95.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.628041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over57c88.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6534351.3%176 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under50c85.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7127856.5%157 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under50c82.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2439555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Over50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8038…9547backed Over55c70.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.998557.6%49 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under51c67.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5145445.4%206 W · 248 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Under17c65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.221344.6%95 W · 118 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed Over50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3216453%87 W · 77 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over50c62.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2661256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Under52c60.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2f9…3c15backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2566558.8%391 W · 274 L-37.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253650%18 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed Under33c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.344755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c47…b30abacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43f3…06f9backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204067.5%27 W · 13 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021266.5%141 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf7…e5dbbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b75…535cbacked Over50c30.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c20…bd85backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511439.5%45 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d47…9383backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc30…197abacked Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+102.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…ddf8backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104362.8%27 W · 16 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.37per pick40cpaid+98.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5995…be17backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d3c…2b52backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93cc…bbd9backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260d…98f9backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105954.2%32 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108042.5%34 W · 46 L-13.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x70fc…0a5dbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d4…fbd5backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.