Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a282acfd87e5a389a84eabdb3d1424eeacba37225734ef4396a4c08e1910c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 41c | 1,436$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.58 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 1,205$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 48c | 1,049$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.96 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 53c | 799.98$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.99 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 17c | 635.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 52c | 574.71$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 440.13$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.92 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 76c | 431.37$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 45c | 415$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.39 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 43c | 370$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 327.19$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 45c | 297.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 53c | 256$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 70c | 214.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 55c | 209.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 56c | 196.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 62c | 131.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…2b03backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 52c | 118.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 55c | 63.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 29c | 61.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…eee6backed Over | 58c | 51.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Under | 24c | 50.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 47c | 47.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 80c | 39.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 51c | 38.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 47c | 30.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Over | 77c | 22.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…2b52backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 70c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.