TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1dbb…b286

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9954.5%54 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$68.07
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$16.01
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$42.38
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.56
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.19
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milicbacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$10.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.