Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawford
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34000d3c2a9ebf7fc995e48b46fde37e8b5e07b09299b09560d159a8ae364877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliver Crawfordof Alejandro Moro Canas, Oliver Crawford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 59c | 2,881$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 36c | 1,565$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.08 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Oliver Crawford | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 128 | 67.2%86 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Oliver Crawford | 76c | 1,382$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Oliver Crawford | 79c | 1,208$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.13 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 19c | 1,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oliver Crawford | 42c | 822.7$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.81 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 803$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.85 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Oliver Crawford | 52c | 737.04$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.15 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Oliver Crawford | 44c | 539.78$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.28 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Oliver Crawford | 71c | 428.23$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 416.07$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 11c | 398.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 360.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 30c | 320.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 23c | 283.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Oliver Crawford | 45c | 245.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 22c | 227.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Oliver Crawford | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 31c | 224.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Oliver Crawford | 34c | 169.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 8c | 159.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Oliver Crawford | 42c | 147$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 57c | 142.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Oliver Crawford | 45c | 139.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Oliver Crawford | 41c | 135$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Oliver Crawford | 46c | 118$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 28c | 117.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…59fdbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 108.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Oliver Crawford | 54c | 105.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 59c | 103.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Oliver Crawford | 45c | 102.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Oliver Crawford | 65c | 86.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Oliver Crawford | 36c | 68.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Oliver Crawford | 70c | 68.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Oliver Crawford | 70c | 58.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Oliver Crawford | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Oliver Crawford | 45c | 56.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…794dbacked Oliver Crawford | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Oliver Crawford | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Oliver Crawford | 71c | 54.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…6c1abacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 45.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Oliver Crawford | 45c | 44.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Oliver Crawford | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…aa36backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 39c | 36.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 31c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Oliver Crawford | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Oliver Crawford | 74c | 29.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Oliver Crawford | 45c | 28.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Oliver Crawford | 46c | 27.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Oliver Crawford | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Oliver Crawford | 78c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Oliver Crawford | 45c | 23.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Oliver Crawford | 44c | 23.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Oliver Crawford | 73c | 23.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Oliver Crawford | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 350 | 51.1%179 W · 171 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 19.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Oliver Crawford | 79c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawfordthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Canas vs CrawfordCrawford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.