CS2 · resolved market
CS: GamerLegion vs Liquid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf380fb620f8a2f58c590018ff2273a739d2bf34cfda23709dc71c14d7a774625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked GamerLegion | 45c | 228,786$102,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,328.91 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Liquid | 55c | 88,491$48,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,411.65 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Liquid | 56c | 47,122$26,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,285.39 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Liquid | 55c | 41,493$22,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,821.15 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Liquid | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Liquid | 50c | 7,049$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Liquid | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Liquid | 57c | 4,840$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Liquid | 49c | 3,505$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.55 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Liquid | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Liquid | 55c | 2,220$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.91 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked GamerLegion | 44c | 1,922$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.81 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Liquid | 55c | 1,824$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.26 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 1,710$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.49 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liquid | 55c | 1,588$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.1 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…da92backed Liquid | 47c | 1,537$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Liquid | 55c | 1,255$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Liquid | 56c | 1,168$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.08 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed GamerLegion | 46c | 1,146$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.98 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Liquid | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liquid | 21c | 900$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed Liquid | 56c | 899.99$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Liquid | 21c | 882.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.28 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…093ebacked Liquid | 56c | 798.55$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Liquid | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Liquid | 56c | 699$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.44 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Liquid | 38c | 573.07$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked GamerLegion | 55c | 562.39$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed GamerLegion | 46c | 541$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.14 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Liquid | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Liquid | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked Liquid | 55c | 436$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GamerLegion | 43c | 399.97$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Liquid | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Liquid | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed GamerLegion | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked GamerLegion | 77c | 319.04$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…710ebacked GamerLegion | 75c | 284.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…8f8dbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 271.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…edd6backed GamerLegion | 76c | 247.02$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Liquid | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…3ce9backed GamerLegion | 76c | 218.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…b97bbacked Liquid | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Liquid | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Liquid | 56c | 158.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Liquid | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Liquid | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Liquid | 38c | 114.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Liquid | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed GamerLegion | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Liquid | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Liquid | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Liquid | 55c | 83.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed Liquid | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Liquid | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Liquid | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked GamerLegion | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…aa6ebacked Liquid | 56c | 51.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Liquid | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Liquid | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…315fbacked GamerLegion | 45c | 47.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Liquid | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Liquid | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…2f2cbacked Liquid | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…c8a8backed Liquid | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed GamerLegion | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…1dbdbacked Liquid | 44c | 28.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…5c5fbacked Liquid | 56c | 27.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…ff70backed GamerLegion | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Liquid | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Liquid | 55c | 24.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…849abacked Liquid | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Liquid | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed GamerLegion | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed GamerLegion | 76c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.