Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bf9d566a15d05b7c31dfff2c7f0efd3c83c625196649414573efb8644088f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Olimpia Milano, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Olimpia Milano | 50c | 10,318$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Panathinaikos | 45c | 5,740$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos | 48c | 5,691$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.48 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panathinaikos | 57c | 2,729$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.71 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 2,345$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.63 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Panathinaikos | 63c | 2,297$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.57 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 1,705$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 752.59$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.72 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Olimpia Milano | 43c | 622.13$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.45 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Panathinaikos | 18c | 565.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panathinaikos | 53c | 396$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Panathinaikos | 49c | 389.16$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Panathinaikos | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos | 56c | 266.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Olimpia Milano | 43c | 205.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 145$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Olimpia Milano | 43c | 142.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Olimpia Milano | 43c | 137.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Olimpia Milano | 66c | 127.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Panathinaikos | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Olimpia Milano | 54c | 103.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Olimpia Milano | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Panathinaikos | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Panathinaikos | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Panathinaikos | 58c | 85.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Olimpia Milano | 56c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Panathinaikos | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Panathinaikos | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed Panathinaikos | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Olimpia Milano | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Olimpia Milano | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 31.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Panathinaikos | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Olimpia Milano | 55c | 24.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Panathinaikos | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…7245backed Panathinaikos | 58c | 18.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Panathinaikos | 63c | 16.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.