Euroleague · resolved market
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04779a91032b004688b6a1c9d2578cdea0fb53d1c62e49ff3685c31968761e0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Zalgiris Kaunas, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 48c | 12,000$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Panathinaikos | 52c | 4,300$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Panathinaikos | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.61 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 2,331$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.42 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Panathinaikos | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 3c | 1,232$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 796.2$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 61c | 786.08$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.79 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 45c | 730.59$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.43 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 52c | 698$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.4 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 67c | 594.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.84 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos | 55c | 536.84$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.38 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 518$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.42 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 57c | 434.44$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Panathinaikos | 42c | 412.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Panathinaikos | 55c | 387.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Panathinaikos | 39c | 354.24$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.93 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Panathinaikos | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 310.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 298.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…1224backed Panathinaikos | 27c | 269.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Panathinaikos | 46c | 262.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Panathinaikos | 76c | 256.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Panathinaikos | 47c | 244.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 241.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 44c | 222.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 22c | 220$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Panathinaikos | 44c | 204.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 184$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 51c | 174.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Panathinaikos | 45c | 168.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 167.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…baa9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 36c | 166.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 163$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Panathinaikos | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 135.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Panathinaikos | 55c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Panathinaikos | 62c | 106.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 105.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Panathinaikos | 49c | 101.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Panathinaikos | 38c | 99.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Panathinaikos | 22c | 92.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 87.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 53c | 77.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…c06cbacked Panathinaikos | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 71.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Panathinaikos | 35c | 70.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…5c19backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Panathinaikos | 52c | 63.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 46c | 63.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 45c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 46c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…ed62backed Panathinaikos | 37c | 38.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Panathinaikos | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Panathinaikos | 48c | 27.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb55…696abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.