Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Hewitt (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635c3eabedaa36521a625789ad8ca6498ff08f07851b973576b4ae756592c962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Minaur, Hewitt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minaur | 72c | 5,193$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.92 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Hewitt | 28c | 3,368$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Minaur | 76c | 1,319$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Hewitt | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Hewitt | 28c | 1,010$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.69 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Minaur | 74c | 920.7$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Minaur | 72c | 797.61$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hewitt | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Hewitt | 24c | 587.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Hewitt | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Hewitt | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Hewitt | 26c | 193$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Hewitt | 25c | 169.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Minaur | 73c | 151.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Minaur | 74c | 148.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Hewitt | 28c | 146.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…456cbacked Hewitt | 32c | 94.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hewitt | 26c | 89.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Minaur | 74c | 87.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Hewitt | 29c | 83.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Hewitt | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7204…3b02backed Minaur | 73c | 69.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minaur | 74c | 56.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Hewitt | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…ee62backed Minaur | 74c | 40.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Minaur | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…dd4bbacked Minaur | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Minaur | 73c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Minaur | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Minaur | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Hewitt (+1.5)this page
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz HewittAlex de Minaur won
- Set 2 Winner: Minaur vs HewittMinaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.