Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x302fe71145cc6e6b9ed5e0ec00b5888c7de65bfdd1ae42692b3d52a827e4d460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gironof Shelton, Giron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Shelton | 47c | 14,300$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Giron | 51c | 6,188$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.14 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Giron | 55c | 5,554$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.69 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Giron | 53c | 2,515$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.51 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Giron | 53c | 977.76$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.7 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Giron | 54c | 429.17$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Shelton | 47c | 426.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Shelton | 45c | 399.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Shelton | 43c | 368.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Shelton | 43c | 366.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.14 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Giron | 52c | 325.07$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Shelton | 46c | 323.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Shelton | 44c | 299.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Giron | 54c | 298$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Giron | 57c | 288.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.72 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed Giron | 62c | 275.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…d987backed Shelton | 11c | 274.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Giron | 77c | 255.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Shelton | 46c | 254.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Shelton | 44c | 229.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Shelton | 43c | 224.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Giron | 54c | 214.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Shelton | 48c | 202.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Shelton | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Shelton | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Giron | 55c | 189.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Shelton | 46c | 181.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Giron | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Shelton | 46c | 147.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Giron | 54c | 146.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Giron | 56c | 146.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Giron | 57c | 125.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Giron | 57c | 97.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Shelton | 24c | 85.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Shelton | 47c | 71.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Shelton | 51c | 68.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Shelton | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…8323backed Giron | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…ef52backed Shelton | 46c | 60.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Shelton | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Shelton | 44c | 51.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Shelton | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Giron | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Giron | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Giron | 54c | 47.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Shelton | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Giron | 57c | 43.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Giron | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Giron | 52c | 27.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Giron | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…ab39backed Giron | 57c | 22.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Giron | 62c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)this page
- Ben Shelton vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs GironGiron won
- Shelton vs. Giron: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos GironBen Shelton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.