Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Giron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e1a8e4240990755c266dff51a68218591fd97002f586742c9e01d24a4051faf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gironof Shelton, Giron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Giron | 37c | 933.75$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.17 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Shelton | 63c | 514.79$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Shelton | 64c | 259.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Shelton | 62c | 252.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Shelton | 67c | 195$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Giron | 33c | 195$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Shelton | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Giron | 68c | 87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Shelton | 60c | 80.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Giron | 41c | 80.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shelton | 41c | 69.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Giron | 42c | 55.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Shelton | 63c | 55.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Giron | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 716 | 21.1%151 W · 565 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shelton | 63c | 51.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Giron | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Giron | 37c | 38.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Giron | 75c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shelton | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Giron | 53c | 28.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shelton | 67c | 27.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Shelton | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Gironthis page
- Ben Shelton vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)Giron won
- Shelton vs. Giron: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos GironBen Shelton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.