Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0e74a5b813bf65526875ce1183dcd8635b16714f575db026ba467996fa19d68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jodarof Jodar, Tabilo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jodar | 40c | 10,259$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.74 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…842abacked Tabilo | 60c | 6,709$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Tabilo | 61c | 4,991$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jodar | 40c | 1,542$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.36 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Tabilo | 60c | 1,206$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.82 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Tabilo | 59c | 1,024$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jodar | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…c0d5backed Jodar | 43c | 494.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jodar | 39c | 449$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…939bbacked Jodar | 78c | 444.87$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Jodar | 46c | 438.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.45 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tabilo | 22c | 394.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Jodar | 66c | 338.12$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tabilo | 28c | 328.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Tabilo | 55c | 318.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Jodar | 41c | 239.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Tabilo | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Jodar | 44c | 137.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Jodar | 43c | 116.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Jodar | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Tabilo | 60c | 61.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Tabilo | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Jodar | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Jodar | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…9459backed Jodar | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Jodar | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Tabilo | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked Jodar | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Jodar | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Jodar | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Jodar | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tabilo | 57c | 25.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloRafael Jodar won
- Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Jodar vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Jodar vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs TabiloJodar won
- Set 2 Winner: Jodar vs TabiloJodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.