Euroleague · resolved market
Spread: Valencia (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaede1bebad81dea31ea0d52234ccfb1ac57d4cabfa5b3100dccf4d6cbfc58f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joventutof Valencia, Joventut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea3d…524dbacked Valencia | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joventut | 38c | 2,715$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.21 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Joventut | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia | 60c | 515.66$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Joventut | 38c | 507.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Joventut | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Valencia | 62c | 125.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Joventut | 41c | 103.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Valencia | 45c | 100.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Joventut | 38c | 71.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Valencia | 61c | 62.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Joventut | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Valencia | 61c | 48.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Valencia | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Valencia | 63c | 25.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Valencia | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Valencia | 61c | 21.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Valencia (-5.5)this page
- Valencia vs. JoventutValencia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.