La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed34f5576298c09bbe436136a8a4f8e7daf1ab6be077ea1bfd357f381636fa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 3,710$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 2,627$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.42 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 61c | 2,463$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked No | 59c | 1,696$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 1,686$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.86 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 1,044$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.5 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 985.2$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Yes | 46c | 707.59$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 54c | 659.94$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.57 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 588.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…b19dbacked No | 64c | 545.51$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 45c | 488.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 475.57$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Yes | 45c | 467.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 55c | 427.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…2d77backed No | 56c | 402.95$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 380$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 247.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Yes | 8c | 149$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 136$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 22c | 123.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 41c | 122.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…4b6bbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 90.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 84.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 45c | 77.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 55c | 53.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 33c | 51.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c38…3e2dbacked Yes | 41c | 49.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Yes | 37c | 45.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…5db0backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bad…e9e0backed No | 56c | 39.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 46c | 37.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 44c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed No | 61c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-20?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-20?Yes won
- Will UD Almería vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.