La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe44d95b018b8ca57db3322677cfa8fe0968f987e5c622d01e42e9fb452616caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 4,213$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 3,778$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.95 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 2,094$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed No | 74c | 1,800$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 50c | 1,599$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 34c | 807.91$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 23c | 700$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 497.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 38c | 263.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 233.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 227.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 28c | 212.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 210.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 210.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 209.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 200.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 28c | 190.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 71c | 189.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 53c | 187.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 50c | 183.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 172$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 19c | 140.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 140.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 119.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 16c | 85.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 54c | 80.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…8ceebacked Yes | 25c | 80.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed No | 69c | 73.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 50c | 73.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed No | 54c | 63.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 20c | 56.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 29c | 50.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 29c | 46.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 39.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 60c | 25.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed No | 76c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 68c | 15.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed No | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-20?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.